🏖️ Retirement

Retirement Withdrawal Rate & 4% Scenario Calculator

Test 2.5%, 3%, 3.5%, 4% or a custom planning withdrawal rate and estimate first-year retirement cash flow.

Enter your assumptions

Common planning scenarios: 2.5%, 3%, 3.5% and 4%. The 4% figure is not a guaranteed safe rate; change the input and compare multiple cases.
Average monthly withdrawal in year one
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Year-one withdrawal—
Future annual spending at similar purchasing power—
Withdrawal assumption—
Inflation assumption—
This is a general scenario model and does not include country-specific tax, legal, or lender rules.

Turn a withdrawal rate into annual cash flow and portfolio stress scenarios

The 4% rule is a historical withdrawal framework, not a guarantee that a portfolio will last for a specific retirement.

How to read the result

A higher starting withdrawal improves near-term spending but generally increases sensitivity to longevity, inflation, and early market losses.

Practical scenario: Compare several starting rates and a flexible-spending case instead of treating 4% as a universal answer.

What the estimate does not include

A constant-return model cannot capture full sequence-of-returns risk; use stress testing and cash-buffer planning as well.

Treat the result as a range for further verification, then check the original contract, financial institution, or responsible authority before making a material financial decision.